Congress’ next election is about 20 months away, but as ongoing fund-raising appeals via emails and texts show, campaigning seemingly never ends.
Greater Peoria straddles two Congressional Districts, and frequent contrasts between representatives from neighboring areas can be distinctive.
In some ways, that’s odd. Both the new 16th Congressional District (made up of much of the former 18th) and the 17th (remapped decades ago from the old 19th District) feature considerable rural areas and prominent urban centers (Peoria and the Quad Cities, respectively). Both also have major industrial employers (Caterpillar and John Deere, to name two). Nevertheless, dramatic differences in Congressmen’s politics often bumped heads.
In the 1980s and '90s, there was conservative Republican Bob Michel from Peoria and progressive Democrat Lane Evans from Rock Island. For years in the early 2000s, there was progressive Phil Hare from Rock Island and conservative Aaron Schock from Peoria.
Today is comparable, with progressive Eric Sorensen, the first-term Democrat from Moline in the 17th, and conservative Republican Darin LaHood, who’s served the Peoria area since 2015.
So it’s arguably instructive to compare the districts’ demographics, based on U.S. Census data released this winter.
The populations are close; that’s mandated in how legislatures create districts, with 744, 298 in the 16th and 749,520 in the 17th, and the gender breakdown is similar, with the 16th having about 4,000 more men and the 17th with about 13,000 more women.
People 65 years old and up make up almost 1 in 5 citizens in each district, but the biggest age-group slice is older in the 16th, which has 94,526 people between 45 and 54 years old (12.7%), and the 17th having 92,190 people 25-34 (12.2%).
Both districts’ dominant ancestries are German (27.8% in the 16th and 20.1% in the 17th) and Irish (13.4% in the 16th and 11.6% in the 17th). The 16th has 44,138 military veterans, and the 17th has 39,060 vets.
Of course, working people are no more of a unified voting bloc than women, vets, minorities, etc. Nevertheless, a glance at employment is interesting. The 16th has 595,594 people 16+ years old; the 17th has more – 603,980. Civilian residents 16+ in the labor force number 354,979 in the 16th and 329,509 in the 17th. However, unemployment seems to follow suit, with 20,727 jobless in the 16th and 27,895 in the 17th).
Here’s a snapshot of industries and occupations in the districts:
16th industries’ workers
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining 8,520
Construction 22,763
Manufacturing 56,886
Wholesale trade 10,790
Retail trade 35,906
Transportation and warehousing, and utilities 24,138
Information 4,601
Finance and insurance, and real estate and rental and leasing 28,042
Professional, scientific, and management, and administrative and waste management services 26,897
Educational services, and health care and social assistance 84,213
Arts, entertainment, and recreation, and accommodation and food services 24,332
Other services, except public administration 16,324
Public administration 11,567
16th occupations
Management, business, science, and arts occupations 150,477
Service occupations 49,273
Sales and office occupations 64,993
Natural resources, construction, and maintenance occupations 32,958
Production, transportation, and material moving occupations 57,278
17th industries’ workers
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining 5,676
Construction 18,678
Manufacturing 49,917
Wholesale trade 8,798
Retail trade 42,434
Transportation and warehousing, and utilities 19,271
Information 3,409
Finance and insurance, and real estate and rental and leasing 19,647
Professional, scientific, and management, and administrative and waste management services 27,575
Educational services, and health care and social assistance 77,685
Arts, entertainment, and recreation, and accommodation and food services 32,477
Other services, except public administration 12,855
Public administration 11,087
17th occupations
Management, business, science, and arts occupations 111,351
Service occupations 60,028
Sales and office occupations 70,376
Natural resources, construction, and maintenance occupations 24,253
Production, transportation, and material moving occupations 63,501
Notable for being remarkably similar are jobs in professional, scientific, etc. fields, and in public administration. Several sectors and job types are markedly different – by thousands. The 16th has greater employment in the manufacturing, transportation, finance/insurance/real estate (FIRE), and schools-healthcare-social-services sectors, and more jobs in management/business, etc. and natural resources-construction, etc.
The 17th outpaces its neighbor in retail, and arts/entertainment sectors, and a higher number of jobs in service occupations, sales/office jobs, and production and moving work.
(Perhaps the most surprising is the relative lack of activity in farming plus forestry, fishing and mining, with just 8,520 in the 16th and 5,676 in the 17th. That means to defy expectations for rural areas, much less politicians’ pandering to an idyllic farming America, which apparently has fallen victim to Big Business’ mantra of “doing more with less.”)
What this all means will be speculated by well-paid campaign consultants and spin doctors, naturally, but for everyday voters, the glimpse may help us all appreciate where we fall on incumbents’ priorities.